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Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races

Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races

Posted on May 1, 2026October 10, 2026 By Muhammad Safdar No Comments on Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races
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Everything you need to know about senators ban themselves from prediction markets.

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Kalshi also issued a five-year suspension and a penalty of $6,229.30 to independent Mark Moran, a Senate candidate in Virginia, who did not agree to a settlement.

“YES, I did bet ~$100 on myself on Kalshi because I wanted to get caught,” Moran wrote in an X post. Moran said he refused a settlement offer that would have compelled him to make a public statement, and that he made the bet to draw attention to Kalshi and his own campaign.

“For $100, I just got more attention from CNN, Fox, WSJ, etc than any media consultant ever,” he wrote. “In politics, money has always bought attention, but I can get attention for almost free.”

US blocks states from regulating

Moran wrote that “Kalshi is currently being sued by many states for being an illegal betting market,” and that he made the bet to “bring to light that our ‘democracy’ is up for sale and Kalshi is a platform that can be manipulated by the highest bidder/donor to move a market which will sway voters bc the media will report on it.”

The Trump administration has fought state efforts to impose stricter regulations on prediction markets. The US won a court ruling that prevents New Jersey from enforcing laws that prohibit betting on college sports and require licenses to offer other types of sports wagers.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jurisdiction over prediction markets and recently announced lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois to challenge the states’ regulations. “The CFTC will continue to safeguard its exclusive regulatory authority over these markets and defend market participants against overzealous state regulators,” CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said at the time.

Kalshi said in March that it was “launching new technological guardrails that preemptively block politicians, athletes, and other relevant people from trading in certain politics and sports markets.” Polymarket said yesterday that it is deploying a blockchain system to monitor trading and enforce its rules.


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More on senators ban themselves from prediction markets

Stay tuned for updates on senators ban themselves from prediction markets as the story develops. Related: France Moves to Break Encrypted Messaging.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are senators banning themselves from prediction markets?

After candidates bet on their own races, including independent Senate candidate Mark Moran betting about $100 on himself on Kalshi, senators moved to ban themselves from prediction markets.

What did Mark Moran say about his Kalshi bet?

Moran said he bet to get caught and draw attention to Kalshi and his campaign: for $100, he got more attention from CNN, Fox, WSJ, etc. than any media consultant ever.

Who regulates prediction markets in the US?

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jurisdiction. The Trump administration has fought state efforts to impose stricter regulations on prediction markets.

What guardrails are prediction markets adding?

Kalshi said it is launching technological guardrails that preemptively block politicians, athletes, and others from trading in certain markets, while Polymarket is deploying a blockchain system to monitor trading.

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